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Priscilla Nkonde Gardner

Zambia National Public Health Institute, Zambia

Presentation Title:

Immunogenicity of measles vaccine in HIV-infected and non-infected children at University Teaching Hospital, Zambia: a Bayesian geospatial analysis

Abstract

Despite high measles vaccine coverage, sub-Saharan Africa still has outbreaks, especially in fragile children. This study examined the measles vaccine's immunogenicity in HIV-positive and HIV-negative children aged 2–15 in Lusaka, Zambia. All 200 children, 100 HIV-positive and 100 HIV-negative, had received at least two doses of measles-containing vaccination and had no recent measles infection. Bayesian regression with integrated nested Laplace approximation was used to analyse socio-demographic, dietary, clinical, and immunisation histories, and ELISA was used to quantify measles-specific IgG titres. Spatial clusters of non-retained immunity were identified using QGIS. The results showed 49.5% of children lacked protective IgG. Significantly reduced odds of maintained immunity were linked to HIV infection, age ≥10 years, co-infections, and lack of breastfeeding. GIS study found non-retained immunity hotspots in Chawama and Kanyama sub-districts, which are densely populated and have poor healthcare access. Breastfeeding increased immunity retention, supporting worldwide maternal antibody transfer literature. This study illuminates Zambia's immunological measles protection gaps in at-risk groups. Targeted booster vaccination for older and HIV-infected children, integration of immunisation services into ART clinics, and GIS-supported surveillance to guide fair vaccine administration are recommended. These findings suggest policy realignment to prioritise high-risk communities with data-driven, context-specific immunisation initiatives. The study shows the utility of Bayesian and GIS methods in public health epidemiology and sets a precedent for resource-limited immunisation research. Measles, HIV, IgG, Zambia, Bayesian INLA, GIS, breastfeeding, public health policy.

Biography

Dr. Priscilla Nkonde Gardner is a VPD specialist at the Zambia National Public Health Institute (ZNPHI) and a 2025 PhD graduate in epidemiology from the University of Zambia. After a decade in public health surveillance, immunisation systems strengthening, and epidemic preparedness, she has managed strategic disease intelligence operations nationally and regionally. Her dissertation thesis employed Bayesian modelling and geospatial analytics to identify key immunity gaps and inform evidence-based policy on measles vaccination immunogenicity in HIV-infected and non-infected children. Dr. Gardner has written and co-written peer-reviewed articles and technical reports on immunisation, vaccine-preventable disease surveillance, and health systems resilience. She supports JEE, STAR, and pandemic preparedness frameworks like the VRAM at national and regional levels. Data analysis, health systems integration, and equity-focused immunisation are her specialties. Data-driven, context-appropriate vaccination programs for marginalized and immunocompromised groups are her priority. Dr. Gardner helped Zambia link its immunisation programs with the Measles & Rubella Strategic Framework and Sustainable Development Goals.